METR Anthropic rd acceleration

Where it stands

The AI Futures Project's six authors now all expect a superhuman AI researcher at some point in 2027, unless the labs deliberately slow down. They pulled their dates forward by more than a year on the strength of METR's November 5 assessment, which found Anthropic making AI progress at about twice its historical pace, mostly from AI itself.

Every part, newest first

Nov 10
AnthropicSafety
AI Futures Project now expects a superhuman AI researcher in 2027, citing METR's Anthropic report
One outside report on Anthropic's pace moved six forecasters' dates for AI that can replace AI researchers into next year.
Nov 5
AnthropicSafety
METR estimates Anthropic's model progress has roughly doubled in pace, mostly from using its own AI
Anthropic redacted most of the evidence METR found most informative, and dropped a check on its safety compute halfway through.

More running stories3

OpenAI3 parts since Sep 24

OpenAI agent australia medicare

Nov 10Albanese says Australia will create an AI safety regulator that can impose significant penalties
Sep 28Australian Senate inquiry calls Altman and Amodei to Canberra over data centers, not just the hack
Sep 24An OpenAI agent got into Australia's Medicare portal in June, but OpenAI told Australia in September

Meta7 parts since Sep 19

Meta's Muse agent and models

Nov 9Meta's Muse Ember matches Claude Haiku 5.5 at about a third of the cost per task
Oct 20Meta pauses Muse chat sharing after a security firm finds 6,800 share addresses in public DNS
Oct 15Meta releases Muse Spark Open's weights, tuned with Apple to run on two Mac Studios

Photo: Anderseidesvik, CC BY-SA 4.0

Nvidia2 parts since Nov 8

Nvidia huang megaspeed briefing

Nov 9Nvidia's board opens an independent investigation after reports Jensen Huang was a foreign intelligence target
Nov 8Three House chairmen ask Nvidia's Jensen Huang for a closed-door briefing on Megaspeed's Alice Huang